Paramount has picked a very public fight over the future of one of Hollywood’s last major studios, and it’s doing it the hard way: through a hostile bid, a proxy campaign, and a plea directly to Warner Bros. Discovery shareholders to blow up the Netflix deal. What looks like a dry Wall Street tussle is, in reality, a three‑way showdown that could reshape who controls the Warner Bros. lot, HBO, and a huge chunk of the streaming landscape.
At the center of this is David Ellison’s Skydance‑owned Paramount, which has been trying for weeks to pry Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) away from Netflix’s embrace. Netflix already has WBD’s board on its side with an all‑cash takeover of Warner Bros. valued at $27.75 per share plus a “stub” stake in a spun‑off networks business called Discovery Global, but Ellison is dangling something clearer and cleaner: $30 per share, all cash, for the entire company. In a market where media stocks have been whiplashed and streaming strategies keep getting rewritten, that extra premium and lack of stock risk is exactly what Paramount wants shareholders to focus on.
So far, they aren’t biting. Paramount has extended its tender offer deadline again, now running to February 20, and the math is brutal: just over 168 million WBD shares have been tendered into Paramount’s offer, out of nearly 2.5 billion outstanding. That’s roughly 7 percent participation, hardly the groundswell you want when you’re trying to overturn a board‑backed merger pushed by Netflix, a company the market values at over $400 billion compared with Paramount’s low‑double‑digit billions. Warner Bros. Discovery is leaning hard into that signal, saying more than 93 percent of shareholders who have voted so far have rejected what it calls Paramount’s “inferior scheme” in favor of the Netflix deal.
The playbook Paramount is now pulling off the shelf is the proxy fight. It has filed preliminary proxy materials and is gearing up to ask WBD shareholders to reject three big things: the Netflix merger agreement itself, the planned split that would carve off Discovery Global months before closing, and the pay packages for senior Warner Bros. Discovery executives, including CEO David Zaslav. The message is simple but sharp: don’t approve this deal, don’t let management shrink what’s left of your company into a heavily indebted cable bundle, and don’t reward the people pushing you into it.
That Discovery Global spin‑off is more than just a side note. Under the Netflix plan, Warner Bros. and HBO (plus HBO Max) would go to Netflix, while the legacy cable channels — including CNN and a raft of fading linear networks — would be dropped into a separate, debt‑burdened entity left behind for WBD shareholders. Netflix and WBD argue those channels still have meaningful value; Paramount, unsurprisingly, is treating that stub as toxic waste that drags down the real economics of the Netflix bid. If you’re a shareholder, the question is whether you’d rather own cash today or some future slice of a shrinking cable business at a time when cord‑cutting is still grinding away at old‑school TV.
Paramount has been working overtime to convince investors its path is safer and faster. It has repeatedly emphasized that its $30‑per‑share offer is fully financed, backed by roughly $41 billion of new equity from the Ellison family and RedBird Capital and about $54 billion of committed debt from big banks like Bank of America, Citi, and Apollo. It’s also framing itself as the pro‑competition option, arguing that a Netflix‑Warner combination would entrench an already dominant streaming player, while a Paramount‑Warner tie‑up would create a counterweight and avoid putting so much market power under Netflix’s roof.
Warner Bros. Discovery isn’t just saying “no,” it’s saying “no, and here’s why.” The company has called Paramount’s bid “illusory,” accusing it of misleading shareholders about the extent to which the offer is truly guaranteed by the Ellison family and linked assets such as Oracle stock. From their perspective, $30 a share in cash still does not compensate for what they see as the risks, costs, and regulatory questions around a hostile Paramount takeover, especially when they already have a negotiated, board‑approved agreement with Netflix that they believe delivers “tremendous and certain value.”
Layered on top of this bidding war is a legal fight that could get nasty. Paramount has sued Warner Bros. Discovery and David Zaslav in Delaware, seeking to speed up proceedings so it can bolster its case with shareholders and challenge the Netflix deal more effectively. A judge has already declined to fast‑track that suit, slowing Paramount’s attempt to use the courts as leverage, but the litigation is still hanging over the process as both sides trade barbs in press releases and investor letters.
For Netflix, all of this is happening under a cloud of market skepticism. The company’s stock recently hit a 52‑week low in the wake of its latest earnings report, even as it shifted its Warner offer to an all‑cash structure to lock in board support at WBD. Investors seem wary about the sheer scale of debt the combined entity would carry — around $85 billion under the Netflix structure versus about $87 billion if Paramount prevails — and what that means for future spending on content, tech, and international expansion. The calculus is essentially whether a more leveraged but bigger Netflix is worth the risk in an environment where cheap money is gone and competition from tech giants remains relentless.
Zoom out, and this isn’t just about one transaction; it’s about the endgame for legacy media. Paramount’s move is a sign of how desperate and ambitious studio chiefs have become as cord‑cutting erodes traditional TV revenue and streaming growth gets harder and more expensive. Consolidation has been the default answer for years, but there are fewer chairs left in the game: Disney, Netflix, Amazon, and tech‑adjacent players already loom large, and there are only so many independent studios of Warner’s scale still standing. Whoever wins this tug‑of‑war will control a huge slice of Hollywood IP, from DC and “Harry Potter” to HBO’s prestige slate, and that will ripple through everything from theatrical release slates to what shows get greenlit for streaming.
Behind the deal math, there’s also a broader governance question that tends to get buried until someone launches a proxy fight: who actually gets to decide the future of these companies. By going after executive pay and calling on shareholders to vote down the Netflix transaction, Paramount is trying to tap into frustration with media boards that have presided over share price declines, aggressive streaming pivots, and messy restructurings. Whether that frustration translates into actual votes against the WBD board is another story, particularly when the incumbents can point to overwhelming support numbers so far and a concrete, board‑approved plan on the table.
In the coming weeks, expect an aggressive messaging war aimed squarely at WBD investors. Paramount will keep hammering its “more cash, less risk, faster close” narrative and hint that it could sweeten the offer if interest doesn’t pick up, while Netflix and Warner will stress certainty, regulatory strategy, and the long‑term upside of their merger. For everyone else — talent, employees, and viewers — the practical question is simpler: are you more comfortable with Warner’s future being steered from inside a streaming giant that already dominates global subscriptions, or by a newly bulked‑up rival trying to claw its way back into the fight?
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